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Recent Temperature Changes in the Western Arctic during Spring

James E. Overland1, Muyin Wang2, and Nicholas A. Bond2

1Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, Washington, 98115
2Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, 98195

Journal of Climate, 15(13), 1702–1716, (2002).
Copyright ©2002 by American Meteorological Society. Further electronic distribution is not allowed.

2. Datasets

It is difficult to develop a consistent, unbiased long record of the thermal structure in regions where conventional observations are sparse in space and time. Here, we make use of two hemispheric datasets. The first is the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis (Kalnay et al. 1996; Kistler et al. 2001), which provides a full suite of atmospheric parameters on a 2.5° × 2.5° grid from 1948 to the present. There is good coverage of rawinsonde data along the Arctic coast for assimilation into the reanalysis. The second is the TOVS Path-P dataset (Francis and Schweiger 2000), which provides temperature and humidity analyses north of 60°N on a 100 × 100 kmto the 2 grid for the period 1979–98. The reanalysis uses a "frozen" data assimilation model system over the period of record and hence has temporal consistency, but includes relatively few observations from the central Arctic. The TOVS Path-P dataset is based on satellite-measured radiances that provide relatively good horizontal resolution in temperature and humidity in the central Arctic, but with uncertainties in calibration. In an overall sense, the reanalysis is best suited for describing temporal changes and for diagnostic calculations, since it includes both thermodynamic and kinematic parameters in dynamical balance, while the TOVS Path-P is best suited for describing details in horizontal gradients in temperature. The TOVS Path-P dataset depends on measurements from a series of satellites, and the calibrations that need to be applied to the data prior to 1986 are unknown. We have adjusted the temperature from the TOVS Path-P for the purposes of the present analysis; the details of this adjustment are covered in the appendix.

Our analysis relies principally on the reanalysis dataset. This source is used to illustrate the changes in the climate of the western Arctic over the last half of the twentieth century, and for estimates of terms in the thermodynamic energy budget. The TOVS Path-P dataset is used to compare the details of the structure of the temperature anomalies of the 1990s with those in the 1980s. An important result of our analyses using the two datasets is that the temperature fields in the reanalysis were found to be similar to those in the TOVS Path-P, even though the former has relatively meager data available for the central Arctic. This result indicates that diagnostic calculations from the reanalysis for the Arctic are reasonably robust.

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