**To**:**yangxingz@xxxxxxxxx****Subject**:**Re: Re: [ferret_users] Trend error and significance****From**:**siva <sivamtech07@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>**- Date: Mon, 10 Aug 2009 09:17:47 +0000
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Hi Peter Szabo and yangxing zheng,

Thank you for your help..

Both of your replies are for trend significance..

I need to findout trend error also...

Thank you in advance

Cheers...

On Fri, 07 Aug 2009 22:10:20 +0530 wrote

>Hi Siva, I think David Wang has provided a method that posted couple months ago. I copy the message for you, as shown below:-------------------------------------------BTW, there is a caveat that the approximation of 95% confidence interval by "two sigma" can only be used when the degree of freedom is sufficient large. This student's t-table makes it clear (t = slope/sigmab).

http://www.ncsu.edu/chemistry/resource/t-table.htmlD.On Thu, Mar 5, 2009 at 7:08 PM, David Wang

Hi Ferreters,I recently wanted to calculate the 95% confidence interval for a linear regression

by the way of regresst.jnl, and found it's quite straightforward. There

is a question on this in the archive that remains unanswered (http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/maillists/tmap/ferret_users/fu_2006/msg00428.html). So I put forth my two cents here risking everybody has already known it.

The idea is that 95% confidence interval is about "two sigma" (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty#Measurements). So the problem boils down to estimating the sampling standard deviation of the regression slope. Following Wilks's book (statistical methods in atmospheric science, chapter 6.2), the sampling distribution

for slope is Gaussian and its sampling standard deviation is given in

the equation 6.18b. In Ferret, after regresst.jnl, issue the following

two commands:

let sigmab = ((qvar/pvar-slope*slope)/(ones[t=@sum]-2))^0.5And

the 95% error bar is 2*sigmab. If the confidence interval at a

different significance level (say, 90%) is desirable, one can simply go

to the lookup table for the t-test and figure out how many "sigma" s/he

needs.

HTH,D.----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- On Fri, 8/7/09, siva

I want to do trend analysis.

Actually i am able to get trend of a particular variable, using regresst.jnl. But there is no variable inside this JNL, defining trend error and confidence level of the trend.

Is there any function/JNL for getting these?

Thanks in advance..

RegardsS.Siva Reddy

Senior Research Fellow

UCESS/INCOIS

University of Hyderabad

Hyderabad

Mob:9908248120

S.Siva Reddy

Senior Research Fellow

UCESS/INCOIS

University of Hyderabad

Hyderabad

Mob:9908248120

**Follow-Ups**:**Re: Re: [ferret_users] Trend error and significance***From:*Peter Szabo

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