var note01 = "The ENSO cycle is an irregular oscillation of the climate system with a period of roughly 3 to 4 years. It consists of a warm phase, El Ni&#241;o, and a cold phase, La Ni&#241;a.";
var note06 = "At some locations along the Peru coast, surface temperature anomalies peaked at 8&#176; to 9&#176;C above normal between December 1997 and March 1998 (Climate Analysis Center, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Climate Diagnostics Bulletin, May 1998, Washington, DC).";
var note10 = "Advection of the eastern edge of the warm pool is an important feature of previous El Ni&#241;o events [M. J. McPhaden and J. Picaut, <i>Science</i> <b>250</b>, 1385 (1990); J. Picaut and T. Delcroix, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>100</b>, 18393 (1995); J. Picaut, M. Ioualalen, C. Menkes, T. Delcroix, M. J. McPhaden, <i>Science</i> <b>274</b>, 1486 (1996)].  Details of how high-frequency wind forcing can rectify into low-frequency eastward expansion of the warm pool were described in W. S. Kessler, M. J. McPhaden, K. M. Weickmann, [<i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>100</b>, 10613 (1995)].";
var note15 = "This aspect of delayed oscillator theory was anticipated by K. Wyrtki [<i>J. Phys. Oceanogr.</i> <b>5</b>, 572 (1975)].";
var note21 = "B. Wang and X. Xie [<i>J. Clim.</i> <b>11</b>, 2116 (1998)] have shown theoretically how the MJO can amplify over warm surface water through ocean-atmosphere interactions. L. Yu and M. M. Reinecker [<i>Geophys. Res. Lett.</i> <b>25</b>, 3537 (1998)] also present evidence that cold air outbreaks from East Asia and the western North Pacific contributed to the intensification of the MJO at the beginning of the 1997-98 El Ni&#241;o.";
var note22 = "M. J. McPhaden and X. Yu [<i>Proceedings of the Second Hayes Symposium on Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Variability-1997/1998 ENSO Cycle</i>, Dallas, TX, 10 to 15 January 1999 (American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, 1999), pp. 38-42] use a wind-forced model to compare boundary versus wind-forced Kelvin wave amplitudes during the onset and termination phase of the 1997-98 El Ni&#241;o. During the onset phase, directly wind-forced downwelling Kelvin waves were about 10 times larger than those generated at the western boundary by reflecting Rossby waves. During the termination phase, boundary versus wind-forced upwelling Kelvin waves were of similar amplitudes. ";
var note25 = "J. Picaut, F. Masia, Y. du Penhoat [<i>Science</i> <b>277</b>, 663 (1997)] have suggested that zonal advection associated with eastern boundary-generated Rossby waves may be important in producing ENSO SST anomalies. These Rossby waves result from the reflection of incoming equatorial Kelvin waves along the coast of South America. For the 1997-98 event, eastern boundary reflections appear to be of secondary importance during the onset phase, given the strength of direct wind forcing along the equator. Similarly, termination of the El Ni&#241;o was related more to the sudden trade wind-driven upwelling of cold water from below the surface rather than wave-related zonal advection of cool water from the east. Zonal advection due to boundary-generated Rossby waves would have brought warmer rather than colder water from the east in early 1998, because the normal east-west SST gradient along the equator was reversed at that time. Once the surface cooling was underway, however, wave-related zonal advection from eastern boundary reflections may have contributed to the westward spreading of cold SST anomalies evident in Fig. 2.";
var note35 = "Another interpretation of irregularity in the ENSO cycle invokes chaos theory and nonlinear interactions of ENSO with the mean seasonal cycle [E. Tziperman, L. Stone, H. Jarosh, M. A. Cane, <i>Science</i> <b>264</b>, 72 (1994); F.-F. Jin, J. D. Neelin, M. Ghil, <i>ibid.</i>, p. 70 (1994); P. Chang, L. Ji, B. Wang, T. Li, <i>J. Atmos. Sci.</i> <b>52</b>, 2353 (1995).";
var note41 = "Global mean temperatures generally rise by a few tenths of a degree Celsius following the peak warming of El Ni&#241;o events, due to losses of heat from the tropical Pacific Ocean to the overlying atmosphere [J. R. Christy and R. T. McNider, <i>Nature</i> <b>367</b>, 325 (1994); E. K. Schneider, R. S. Lindzen, B. P. Kirtman, <i>J. Atmos. Sci.</i> <b>54</b>, 1349 (1997)]. The rise in global mean temperatures in 1997-98 was therefore most likely augmented by the occurrence of the extreme 1997-98 El Ni&#241;o.";
var anderson_davey98 = "Anderson, D. L. T., and M. K. Davey, <i>Weather</i> <b>53</b>, 295 (1998).";
var balamseda_etal95 = "Balmaseda, M. A., M. K. Davey, D. L. T. Anderson, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>8</b>, 2705 (1995).";
var barnett_etal91 = "Barnett, T. P., M. Latif, E. Kirk, E. Roeckner, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>4</b>, 487 (1991).";
var barnston_etalip = "Barnston, A. G., M. H. Glantz, Y. He, <i>Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.</i>, in press.";
var battisti88 = "Battisti, D., <i>J. Atmos. Sci.</i> <b>45</b>, 2889 (1988).";
var blanke_etal97 = "Blanke, B., J. D. Neelin, D. Gutzler, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>10</b>, 1473 (1997).";
var boulanger_fu96 = "Boulanger, J.-P., and L.-L. Fu, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>101</b>, 16361 (1996).";
var boulanger_menkesip = "Boulanger, J.-P., and C. Menkes, <i>Clim. Dyn.</i>, in press.";
var boulanger_menkes95 = "Boulanger, J.-P., and C. Menkes, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>100</b>, 25041 (1995).";
var brainerd_gregg97 = "Brainerd, K. E., and M. C. Gregg, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>102</b><i>,</i> <b></b>10437 (1997).";
var busalacchi96 = "Busalacchi, A. J., in <i>Modern Approaches to Data Assimilation in Ocean Modeling</i> (Elsevier Science, Amsterdam, 1996), pp. 235-270.";
var cane_etal86 = "Cane, M. A., S. C. Dolan, S. E. Zebiak, <i>Nature</i> <b>321</b>, 827 (1986).";
var chang_etal95 = "Chang, P., L. Ji, B. Wang, T. Li, <i>J. Atmos. Sci.</i> <b>52</b>, 2353 (1995).";
var chavez_etal98 = "Chavez, F. P., P. G. Strutton, M. J. McPhaden, <i>Geophys. Res. Lett.</i> <b>25</b>, 3543 (1998).";
var chen_etal95 = "Chen, D. S., E. Zebiak, A. J. Busalacchi, M. A. Cane, <i>Science</i> <b>269</b>, 1699 (1995).";
var chen_etal97 = "Chen, Y.-Q., D. S. Battisti, T. N. Palmer, J. Barsugli, E. S. Sarachik, <i>Mon. Weather Rev.</i> <b>125</b>, 831 (1997).";
var christy_mcnider94 = "Christy, J. R., and R. T. McNider, <i>Nature</i> <b>367</b>, 325 (1994).";
var climate98 = "Climate Analysis Center, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Climate Diagnostics Bulletin, May 1998, Washington, DC.";
var cronin_mcphaden97 = "Cronin, M., and M. J. McPhaden, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>102</b>, 8533 (1997).";
var goddard_graham97 = "Goddard, L., and N. E. Graham, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>102</b>, 10423 (1997).";
var godfrey_etal98 = "Godfrey, J. S., <i>et al.</i>, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>103</b>, 14395 (1998).";
var harrison_geise91 = "Harrison, D. E., and B.S. Geise, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>96</b>, 3221 (1991).";
var ji_leetmaa97 = "Ji, M., and A. Leetmaa, <i>Mon. Weather Rev.</i> <b>125</b>, 742 (1997).";
var jin_etal94 = "Jin, F.-F., J. D. Neelin, M. Ghil,<i> Science</i> <b>264</b>, 70 (1994).";
var jones_etal98 = "Jones, C., D. E. Waliser, C. Gautier, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>11</b>, 1057 (1998).";
var kaplan_etal98 = "Kaplan, A., <i>et al.</i>, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>103</b>, 18567 (1998).";
var kerr98 = "Kerr, R. A., <i>Science</i> <b>280</b>, 522 (1998).";
var kessler90 = "Kessler, W. S., <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>95</b>, 5183 (1990).";
var kessler_mccreary93 = "Kessler, W. S., and J. P. McCreary, <i>J. Phys. Oceanogr.</i> <b>23</b>, 1192 (1993).";
var kessler_mcphaden95a = "Kessler, W. S., and M. J. McPhaden, <i>Deep-Sea Res. Part 2</i> <b>42</b>, 295 (1995a).";
var kessler_mcphaden95b = "Kessler, W. S., and M. J. McPhaden, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>8</b>, 1757 (1995b).";
var kessler_etal95 = "Kessler, W. S., M. J. McPhaden, K. M. Weickmann, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>100</b>, 10613 (1995).";
var lagerloef_etalip = "Lagerloef, G. S. E., G. T. Mitchum, R. Lukas, P. P. Niiler, in preparation.";
var latif_etal94 = "Latif, M., <i>et al.</i>, <i>Clim. Dyn.</i> <b>9</b>, 167 (1994).";
var latif_etal97 = "Latif, M., R. Kleeman, C. Eckert, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>10</b>, 2221 (1997).";
var lau_chan86 = "Lau, K.-M., and P. H. Chan, <i>Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.</i> <b>67</b>, 533 (1986).";
var lau_wangip = "Lau, K.-M., and H. Weng, <i>J. Clim.</i>, in press.";
var li_clarke94 = "Li, B., and A. J. Clarke, <i>J. Phys. Oceanogr.</i> <b>24</b>, 681 (1994).";
var luther_etal83 = "Luther, D. S., D. E. Harrison, R. A. Knox, <i>Science</i> <b>222</b>, 327 (1983).";
var madden_julian72 = "Madden, R. A., and P. R. Julian, <i>J. Atmos. Sci.</i> <b>29</b>, 1109 (1972).";
var mantua_battisti94 = "Mantua, N. J., and D. Battisti, <i>J. Phys. Oceanogr.</i> <b>24</b>, 691 (1994).";
var mantua_etal97 = "Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, R. C. Francis, <i>Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.</i> <b>78</b>, 1069 (1997).";
var mayer_weisberg98 = "Mayer, D. A., and R. H. Weisberg, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>103</b>, 18635 (1998).";
var mcphaden95 = "McPhaden, M. J., <i>Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.</i> <b>76</b>, 739 (1995).";
var mcphaden_hayes90 = "McPhaden, M. J., and S. P. Hayes, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>95</b>, 13195 (1990).";
var mcphaden_picaut90 = "McPhaden, M. J., and J. Picaut, <i>Science</i> <b>250</b>, 1385 (1990).";
var mcphaden_yu99 = "McPhaden, M. J., and X. Yu, in <i>Proceedings of the Second Hayes Symposium on Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Variability-1997/1998 ENSO Cycle</i>, Dallas, TX, 10 to 15 January 1999 (American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, 1999), pp. 38-42.";
var mcphaden_etal98 = "McPhaden, M. J., <i>et al.</i>, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>103</b>, 14169 (1998).";
var moore_kleemanip = "Moore, A. M., and R. Kleeman, <i>J. Clim.</i>, in press.";
var penland_sardashmuk95 = "Penland, C., and P. D. Sardashmuk, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>8</b>, 1999 (1995).";
var national96 = "National Research Council, <i>Accomplishments and Legacies of the TOGA Program</i> (National Academy Press, Washington, DC, 1996).";
var picaut_delcroix95 = "Picaut, J., and T. Delcroix, <i>J. Geophys. Res.</i> <b>100</b>, 18393 (1995).";
var picaut_etal97 = "Picaut, J., F. Masia, Y. du Penhoat, <i>Science</i> <b>277</b>, 663 (1997).";
var picaut_etal96 = "Picaut, J., M. Ioualalen, C. Menkes, T. Delcroix, M. J. McPhaden, <i>Science</i> <b>274</b>, 1486 (1996).";
var rasmusson_carpenter82 = "Rasmusson, E. M., and T. H. Carpenter, <i>Mon. Weather Rev.</i> <b>110</b>, 354 (1982).";
var reynolds_smith94 = "Reynolds, R. W., and T. M. Smith, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>7</b>, 929 (1994).";
var reynolds_smith95 = "Reynolds, R. W., and T. M. Smith, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>8</b>, 1571 (1995).";
var schneider_etal97 = "Schneider, E. K., R. S. Lindzen, B. P. Kirtman, <i>J. Atmos. Sci.</i> <b>54</b>, 1349 (1997).";
var schopf_suarez88 = "Schopf, P. S., and M. J. Suarez, <i>J. Atmos. Sci.</i> <b>45</b>, 549 (1988).";
var slingo_etal96 = "Slingo, J. M., <i>et al.</i>, <i>Clim. Dyn.</i> <b>12</b>, 325 (1996).";
var slingo_etalip = "Slingo, J. M., D. P. Rowell, K. R. Sperber, F. Nortley, <i>Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc.</i>, in press.";
var suarez_schopf88 = "Suarez, M. J., and P. S. Schopf, <i>J. Atmos. Sci.</i> <b>45</b><b></b>, 3283 (1988).";
var trenberth98 = "Trenberth, K. E., <i>CLIVAR-Exchanges <b></b></i><b>3</b>, <b></b>4 (1998).";
var trenberth_hoar96 = "Trenberth, K. E., and T. J. Hoar, <i>Geophys. Res. Lett.</i> <b>23</b>, 57 (1996).";
var tziperman_etal94 = "Tziperman, E., L. Stone, H. Jarosh, M. A. Cane, <i>Science</i> <b>264</b>, 72 (1994).";
var verbickas98 = "Verbickas, S., <i>Weather</i> <b>53</b>, 282 (1998).";
var weller_anderson96 = "Weller, R. A., and S. P. Anderson, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>9</b>, 1959 (1996).";
var wyrtki75 = "Wyrtki, K., <i>J. Phys. Oceanogr.</i> <b>5</b>, 572 (1975).";
var wakata_sarachik91 = "Wakata, Y., and E. S. Sarachik, <i>J. Phys. Oceanogr.</i> <b>21</b>, 434 (1991).";
var wang_xie98 = "Wang, B., and X. Xie, <i>J. Clim.</i> <b>11</b>, 2116 (1998).";
var weisberg_wang97 = "Weisberg, R. H., and C. Wang, <i>Geophys. Res. Lett.</i> <b>24</b>, 779 (1997).";
var woodruff_etal87 = "Woodruff, S. D., R. J. Slutz, R. L. Jenne, P. Steurer, <i>Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc.</i> <b>68</b>, 1239 (1987).";
var yu_reinecker98 = "Yu, L., and M. M. Reinecker, <i>Geophys. Res. Lett.</i> <b>25</b>, 3537 (1998).";
